According to @FoxNews, New York District Judge Analisa Torres has rejected a joint request from the SEC and Ripple Labs to modify a final judgment, which would have lowered Ripple's penalty and removed a permanent injunction. The source states the judge found the parties did not show 'exceptional circumstances' to warrant the change, noting a 'reasonable probability' that Ripple would continue violating federal securities laws. This development maintains legal uncertainty for Ripple (XRP), which is currently trading at $2.2061, up 0.929% over 24 hours. In separate news, the U.S. Senate has passed a stablecoin regulation bill, a potentially bullish event for the crypto market. Concurrently, reports indicate President Trump and his family have reduced their stake in a crypto firm with its own stablecoin, World Liberty Financial, raising conflict of interest concerns but also highlighting the growing intersection of crypto and U.S. politics.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rally, with Bitcoin (BTC) rising 3.1% to trade at $108,600. The surge was fueled by positive institutional developments, including a trademark application from JPMorgan for digital asset services and news that asset manager Purpose is set to launch a spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) in Canada. This news also propelled XRP and Chainlink (LINK) to gains of 6-7%. Despite the broad altcoin outperformance, Nansen research analyst Nicolai Søndergaard suggests it is not yet an 'alt season,' stating that BTC continues to be the primary market driver. From a technical standpoint, Bitfinex analysts noted that recent market behavior resembled past 'capitulation-style setups,' suggesting a potential local bottom if BTC can maintain support in the $102,000-$103,000 range. Traders are now closely watching the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, with digital asset analytics firm Swissblock anticipating market volatility based on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's commentary.

According to @caprioleio, Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating within a tight ten percent trading range for 40 consecutive days, nearing a historical record of 42 days. This prolonged period of range-bound trading is attributed to ambiguous macroeconomic signals, including uncertain expectations for future real interest rates and Federal Reserve policy. While this stability may strengthen Bitcoin's store-of-value narrative, it has suppressed market opportunities, pushing 30-day realized volatility below 30% and causing fatigue among options traders. The analysis highlights that this stagnant leadership from Bitcoin is negatively impacting the broader digital asset market, with the CoinDesk 20 Index lagging behind BTC by approximately 5% over the past month as altcoins like ETH show signs of wilting.

According to @rovercrc, while major cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), and Ether (ETH) are showing signs of profit-taking, the broader market sentiment remains constructive due to improving macroeconomic conditions. Matt Mena, a crypto research strategist at 21Shares, stated that Wednesday's softer-than-expected U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is a significant bullish catalyst, putting a Bitcoin (BTC) price of $200,000 by year-end "firmly in play." Mena suggests that if BTC breaks the $105K-$110K range, a sharp move to $120K could follow. This outlook is supported by other analysts, with Augustine Fan from SignalPlus citing improved mainstream sentiment from crypto IPOs and corporate BTC treasury adoption. Additionally, Jeffrey Ding of HashKey Group noted that progress in U.S.-China trade talks and easing inflation create a favorable outlook for risk assets, while Thomas Perfumo from Kraken highlighted the role of spot ETFs in absorbing supply much faster than anticipated.

According to Omkar Godbole, despite recent market resilience, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) have been trading in a narrow range amid geopolitical concerns and ahead of a key Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The report highlights significant institutional adoption, with JPMorgan filing for a crypto platform and MicroStrategy purchasing over 10,100 BTC, as noted in the article. Analysis from XBTO suggests that capital is consolidating into major assets rather than leaving the market, indicating a controlled de-risking. Furthermore, Valentin Fournier of BRN observes a structural shift towards institutional-led demand, maintaining a high-conviction view that prices will grind higher in 2025 due to strong demand and weak selling pressure. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's 50-day simple moving average (SMA) serves as a critical support level, and a break below it could lead to increased selling pressure, according to the analysis.

According to the source, geopolitical tensions have escalated as Israeli forces conducted strikes in Iran, causing significant market volatility. Bitcoin (BTC) price reacted by falling over 4% to $103,900, as reported by the source. This market downturn coincided with a broader risk-off sentiment, with U.S. stock index futures dropping approximately 1.5%, while safe-haven assets like gold and oil surged. Gold added about 0.75% to reach $3,428 per ounce, and crude oil soared 9% to $74 per barrel, according to the report. In a related development impacting the crypto space, the pro-Israel hacker group Gonjeshke Darande released the full source code for the Iranian crypto exchange Nobitex. This action followed a major exploit where the group claimed to have sent over $90 million in tokens from Bitcoin, EVM, Ripple (XRP), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Solana (SOL) networks to burner addresses. The source code leak significantly increases the risk for any user assets remaining on the platform. Nobitex has stated it plans to restore services within five days, though the situation remains critical. According to provided market data, at the time of reporting, XRP was trading around $2.18 and SOL was trading around $151.04.

According to the source, Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen over 4% to trade below $104,000 amid a significant flight from risk assets triggered by escalating geopolitical tensions between the U.S., Israel, and Iran. The market downturn reportedly followed Israeli strikes inside Iran and comments from U.S. President Donald Trump. The sell-off has impacted the broader crypto market, with major altcoins like Ether (ETH) and Solana (SOL) slumping 7%, and crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase (COIN) and bitcoin miners like Riot Platforms (RIOT) falling between 2% and 7%. Analyst Javier Rodriguez-Alarcón stated that the conflict introduced a "significant geopolitical risk premium," while analyst Matteo Greco warned that disruptions to Iran's oil production could fuel renewed inflation. This risk-off sentiment was also seen in traditional markets, where safe-haven assets like gold and oil surged while U.S. stock futures declined.

According to Stephanie Bennett's report for Fox News, recent developments in the Russia-Ukraine war include discussions around the possibility of future peace talks. From a trading perspective, any credible move towards de-escalation or peace negotiations could significantly reduce global geopolitical risk. This reduction in uncertainty is typically a bullish catalyst for risk-on assets, including the cryptocurrency market. Such a development could boost investor confidence, potentially leading to capital inflows into major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Conversely, as detailed in the report, a failure to advance peace talks or any new escalations could increase market volatility and drive investors towards safe-haven assets, putting downward pressure on the crypto market.

According to KobeissiLetter, the U.S. Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate as expected, but its economic projections signaled a more complex outlook for traders. The Fed's forecast now indicates fewer rate cuts in 2026 and 2027, alongside higher inflation and unemployment projections for the current year, which presents a hawkish stance. The crypto market reacted negatively to this complex macroeconomic picture, with Bitcoin (BTC) slipping over 2.5% to $105,900 after initially holding steady. The report highlights that altcoins such as Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), XRP (XRP), and Dogecoin (DOGE) experienced even steeper declines of 5-7%. This downturn in risk assets was reportedly amplified by geopolitical tensions, including threats of new trade tariffs and potential conflict involving Iran. Despite the Fed's firm position, the analysis also points to weakening economic data like a softer Producer Price Index and rising jobless claims, which could eventually pressure the Fed towards a more dovish policy.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) rose to near $107,000, gaining 1.7% in 24 hours, as a U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel eased oil supply fears and boosted risk assets, per market data. Susannah Streeter of Hargreaves Lansdown noted doubts over the truce's stability due to U.S. intelligence leaks. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's 'wait-and-see' approach on rate cuts supports risk assets, but Bitunix analysts advise monitoring inflation and tariff impacts. U.S. consumer confidence softened, raising July rate cut odds to 20%, according to CME FedWatch.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 2.9% as Israeli airstrikes on Iran triggered a global risk-off sentiment, causing the broad crypto market index to fall 6.1% over 24 hours, based on market data. Solana (SOL) plummeted nearly 9.5% despite earlier gains from SEC ETF speculation, as reported by Jake Ostrovskis, an OTC trader at Wintermute. Polymarket traders indicate a 91% chance of Iranian retaliation this month, heightening uncertainty. Total liquidations reached $1.16 billion, with 90% from long positions, according to Coinglass data, while spot BTC ETFs saw $939 million in inflows, per Farside Investors.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, bitcoin (BTC) has dropped 1.7% in 24 hours due to heightened Middle East tensions, causing investors to shift to safe havens like gold, but analysts predict a $200,000 price target by year-end remains possible. Boris Alergant, head of institutional partnerships at Babylon, stated that BTC trades like a risk-on asset but is optimistic due to rising institutional demand, citing MicroStrategy's treasury strategy as a key driver. James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, highlighted $900 million in digital asset inflows this week, indicating rebounding investor confidence amid loosening global money supply. Matt Mena, analyst, forecasts BTC could reach $200,000, driven by improving macro clarity, institutional adoption, and potential state-level reserve programs boosting ETF inflows. Subdued U.S. inflation increases the likelihood of Fed rate cuts, which could bolster crypto assets.

According to @tim_cook, Apple is generating excitement for its upcoming major film, 'F1 The Movie,' starring Lewis Hamilton. This high-profile content release is a significant move for Apple's ($AAPL) media division and could influence investor sentiment in the tech giant's stock. For traders, the performance of mega-cap tech stocks like Apple is often viewed as a barometer for broader market risk appetite. A positive reaction to Apple's ventures could bolster a 'risk-on' environment, which historically has shown correlation with positive movements in the cryptocurrency market, potentially impacting capital flows into assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

According to Spencer Yang, Core Contributor to Fractal Bitcoin, BTC's fundamentals remain strong despite Middle East conflicts, with on-chain activity increasing due to protocols like BRC-20, Runes, and Alkanes, supporting its price stability above $100,000. Semir Gabeljic, Director of Capital Formation at Pythagoras Investments, cited significant Bitcoin ETF inflows of $1.1 billion last week as a key driver for BTC's recovery. Glassnode and Avenir Group's report highlighted BTC's growing correlation with traditional markets, driven by institutional infrastructure and macro liquidity cycles. Tim Draper noted BTC's dominance rising to over 60%, absorbing innovations such as smart contracts and DeFi, reinforcing its market position. Market movements show BTC and ETH gained amid a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, easing safe-haven demand.

According to Omkar Godbole, Bitcoin (BTC) retreated from $108,000 but remains supported by institutional adoption, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte's directive for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to consider cryptocurrency holdings in mortgage criteria, potentially enhancing market liquidity. The Federal Reserve advanced plans to ease bank capital requirements, benefiting risk assets like BTC. Spot BTC ETFs recorded $548 million in net inflows over 12 consecutive days, per Farside Investors, indicating sustained demand. FxPro's Alex Kuptsikevich highlighted the crypto market cap nearing a volatility threshold at $3.31 trillion, while Metaplanet added 1,234 BTC to its treasury, and Bit Digital shifted focus to ETH staking.

According to Omkar Godbole, Bitcoin (BTC) retreated from $108,000 but remains bullish due to institutional adoption catalysts, such as the FHFA director ordering Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to consider cryptocurrency holdings for mortgages, potentially boosting market momentum. The Federal Reserve's plan to overhaul bank capital requirements could enhance credit creation and support risk assets like BTC, which is sensitive to liquidity conditions. FxPro's Alex Kuptsikevich noted the crypto market cap reached $3.31 trillion, approaching a volatility threshold that may trigger increased selling pressure. Spot BTC ETFs recorded $548 million in net inflows over 12 consecutive days, while Metaplanet purchased 1,234 BTC, signaling strong institutional demand.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, cryptocurrencies declined sharply due to heightened geopolitical risks from Israeli airstrikes on Iran, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling 2.9% and a broad crypto market index dropping 6.1% over 24 hours, as investors fled risk assets amid global market turmoil. Solana (SOL) tumbled 9.5% despite earlier ETF optimism, as Jake Ostrovskis of Wintermute noted SEC filing updates could accelerate approvals, but the conflict shifted focus to safe havens like gold. Derivatives data from Velo indicated open interest fell to $49.31 billion with defensive positioning, including rising BTC and ETH put/call ratios, while upcoming token unlocks for ARB, ZK, and APE may add selling pressure.

According to Charmaine Tam, Head of OTC at Hex Trust, Ethereum's recent outperformance against Bitcoin, with ETH dominance rising to nearly 10%, signals capital shifting towards altcoins amid market volatility from Israeli airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. This divergence highlights investor appetite for sectors like DeFi and decentralized AI, supported by on-chain flows and institutional inflows into spot ETH ETFs. Separately, MAS confirmed new licensing requirements for offshore crypto firms, effective June 30, potentially influenced by the bankruptcies of Three Arrows Capital and Terraform Labs, as these firms had minimal Singapore oversight despite local registration. Additionally, Quranium's Dhiman introduced QSafe Wallet, using NIST-approved quantum-resistant algorithms to protect against future cryptographic threats.

According to Francisco Rodrigues, bitcoin (BTC) rose nearly 1.7% to approach $107,000, driven by a U.S.-brokered ceasefire between Iran and Israel that lifted global risk assets. Susannah Streeter noted doubts about the truce holding due to a leaked U.S. intelligence report, potentially reigniting market volatility. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized patience on interest-rate cuts, citing elevated inflation and tariff risks, which Bitunix analysts stated supports short-term risk assets but requires monitoring of upcoming data. Traders are eyeing Powell's Senate testimony and derivatives activity, with options indicating expectations of tight price action around $100,000-$105,000 alongside modest bullish calls for higher levels.

According to Semir Gabeljic, director at Pythagoras Investments, Bitcoin ETF inflows of $1.1 billion last week and $350 million recently are driving BTC's recovery above $106,000 amid eased geopolitical tensions from the Israel-Iran ceasefire. Spencer Yang, Core Contributor to Fractal Bitcoin, stated that BTC fundamentals remain strong despite conflicts, with increased on-chain activity from protocols like BRC-20. Glassnode and Avenir Group highlighted Bitcoin's growing correlation with traditional markets due to institutional integration. Tim Draper noted BTC dominance exceeding 60% as it absorbs altcoin innovations, reinforcing long-term stability. Market data shows BTC and ETH gains alongside reduced safe-haven demand for gold.